Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2520.117371 2720.166127 2921.072851 3137.659052 3364.237395 3593.964320 3844.183046
2025-11-30 2221.231090 2525.093238 2839.947338 3189.351077 3565.059450 3955.779130 4391.691374
2025-12-07 2004.469081 2370.847948 2759.518095 3200.067945 3683.132325 4194.411954 4774.176469
2025-12-14 1820.881360 2230.524299 2674.101437 3186.040911 3756.609618 4369.259901 5073.115945
2025-12-21 1642.393369 2080.471344 2564.128740 3131.723372 3773.757117 4472.066062 5283.621874
2025-12-28 1590.821722 2068.367208 2603.525516 3239.534715 3966.925957 4765.578349 5701.534534
2026-01-04 1511.372167 2017.431358 2593.065907 3285.729432 4086.438667 4973.598619 6021.568585
2026-01-11 1418.885391 1945.085673 2552.653413 3292.768168 4157.305872 5123.598211 6273.739248
2026-01-18 1334.610607 1877.587728 2513.637135 3297.531071 4222.216990 5264.160983 6513.037988
2026-01-25 1262.180057 1820.457155 2483.475848 3309.598750 4292.991640 5409.383988 6756.039198
2026-02-01 1178.239545 1744.720240 2427.236383 3287.322027 4320.687163 5502.697855 6937.645596
2026-02-08 1120.996084 1699.737178 2406.033853 3304.983357 4393.798216 5647.368870 7177.539070
2026-02-15 1044.308546 1627.475251 2349.732989 3279.403761 4415.654583 5733.325879 7351.469146
2026-02-22 1009.134485 1607.763140 2357.937979 3332.144541 4531.251473 5929.608611 7654.812605
2026-03-01 957.890595 1564.165949 2333.868704 3343.171170 4594.995919 6063.626670 7884.522786
2026-03-08 899.173208 1507.693966 2291.032716 3328.746244 4626.085184 6157.592827 8066.129065
2026-03-15 827.156996 1429.587770 2217.354862 3272.882200 4604.129715 6186.386886 8169.103531
2026-03-22 827.153046 1451.637560 2274.696386 3383.753763 4788.566094 6463.813072 8568.705517
2026-03-29 802.379795 1437.372917 2283.106943 3431.248356 4893.831284 6645.550844 8854.239159
2026-04-05 763.655478 1401.372576 2261.174245 3438.484571 4947.969793 6764.794257 9064.648750
2026-04-12 726.310000 1365.673486 2238.302868 3443.381015 4998.321121 6878.870543 9268.545919
2026-04-19 693.767715 1335.578389 2221.892448 3455.786731 5057.465345 7003.270634 9484.723032
2026-04-26 650.762296 1287.847559 2179.712052 3432.885646 5070.704853 7070.558457 9631.217346